Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.7%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
5 sept. 26, 00:07 UTC3 janv. 29, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Pennsylvania Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsJohn Fetterman out by which date?
PolymarketWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWho will John Fetterman endorse or suggest voting for in the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if John Fetterman formally resigns from his seat in the United States Senate at any point before his current term ends on January 3, 2029.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
- He completes his current Senate term without resigning.
- He leaves office before the end of his term due to death, permanent incapacitation, or expulsion by the Senate, without having submitted a formal resignation.
- A public announcement of a future resignation date will trigger a YES resolution as long as the effective date of the resignation is set to occur before January 3, 2029.