Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 90.8%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard26 mai 25, 07:43 UTC19 mars 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketRègles
As the political landscape in France continues to evolve, all eyes are on the potential candidates for the 2027 presidential election.
- Among the prominent figures, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of La France Insoumise, stands out as a significant contender.
- Here's why betting on Mélenchon's candidacy could be a strategic move:
- Historical Context and Experience: Jean-Luc Mélenchon is no stranger to presidential campaigns, having run in the 2012, 2017, and 2022 elections.
- His extensive experience and established political presence make him a formidable candidate.
- In the 2022 election, Mélenchon secured nearly 22% of the vote in the first round, narrowly missing the runoff1.
Marchés ouverts
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- J.D. Vance50%
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? doit être résolu le 19 mars 2027.
- Comment Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As the political landscape in France continues to evolve, all eyes are on the potential candidates for the 2027 presidential election.