Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 50.5%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète8 févr. 24, 16:45 UTC15 avr. 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketRègles
Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolves YES if François Ruffin appears on the official ballot for the 2027 French presidential election.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will François Ruffin be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will François Ruffin be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will François Ruffin be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election? doit être résolu le 15 avril 2027.
- Comment Will François Ruffin be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolves YES if François Ruffin appears on the official ballot for the 2027 French presidential election.