Will JD Vance refuse to certify any electoral college votes in the 2028 election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 06:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 90%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète16 juil. 24, 17:06 UTC2 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the loser get 228 or more electoral votes in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an electoral college majority in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold Markets2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
KalshiHow many tie-breaking Senate votes will JD Vance cast in 2026?
PredictItRègles
Conditional on JD Vance actively serving in the role of vice-president during the 2028 American federal election, will he refuse to certify any of the electoral college votes for the presidency, as initially cast by the state electors?
- If Vance is not VP at the relevant time, market resolves N/A.
