Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.6%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète2 avr. 23, 16:51 UTC1 déc. 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves to YES if either the 2024 presidential election or the 2028 presidential election in the United States (or both) results in a tie in the Electoral College between two candidates (which would currently be 269–269, though the number of votes needed would change if states joined or left the union).
- A tie with multiple candidates winning electoral votes does not count (e.g. 200–200–138).
- This excludes faithless electors.
- If there is a dispute as to the result of an election I will follow reliable sources.
- If the Electoral College is abolished before the 2028 election this will resolve to N/A.
