Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
PolitiqueOne-OffMiddle EastGéopolitiqueBasketballSportUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 51.7%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète5 mars 26, 04:43 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- The US and Israel launched a coordinated joint attack on Iran on February 28, 2026, codenamed Operation Epic Fury by the US Department of Defense, targeting key Iranian officials, military commanders and facilities.
- This market resolves YES if J.D. Vance makes a public statement criticizing this decision before January 1, 2029.
- Public statements include interviews, speeches, op-eds, social media posts, or other publicly available remarks.
- The criticism must be directed at the decision to attack Iran itself, not merely at the execution or consequences of the operation.
- Resolution will be determined by reviewing public records, news archives, and official statements from Vance.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria