Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87%
Prévisionnistes
121
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète23 janv. 25, 13:09 UTC2 nov. 28, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWhen, if at all, will JD Vance become president?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Update 2025-23-01 (PST): - Temporary power transfers are not considered when determining if JD Vance becomes President before November 1, 2028.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028? doit être résolu le 2 novembre 2028.
- Comment Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2025-23-01 (PST): - Temporary power transfers are not considered when determining if JD Vance becomes President before November 1, 2028.