Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffGéopolitiqueChine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 53%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
3 oct. 23, 14:38 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran strike US military base at least once before November?
Manifold MarketsWill the US announce in 2026 it is closing a military base in Germany or Spain?
PredictItUS announces military base in Israel in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiWill NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce or start building a dual-use research station by end of 2027?
FutuurRègles
India initially tried to build a military base in Seychelles on Assumption Island in 2018, but was rejected by Seychelles parliament.
- They instead built a military base on Mauritius's Agalega Island.
- However, China has been building its own military base in Madagascar and India's military base in Mauritius is farther from the Mozambique Channel.
- India may decide to build another military base in the southwestern Indian ocean to counter China's growing influence in the region.
- Question resolves YES if India starts to build a military base in a country in eastern Africa before the end of 2026, with the military base near the Indian ocean.
- Listening posts/radar installations/berthing rights do not count, it has to be a full military base.