Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffGéopolitiqueChina3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.9%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète3 oct. 23, 14:38 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
India initially tried to build a military base in Seychelles on Assumption Island in 2018, but was rejected by Seychelles parliament.
- They instead built a military base on Mauritius's Agalega Island.
- However, China has been building its own military base in Madagascar and India's military base in Mauritius is farther from the Mozambique Channel.
- India may decide to build another military base in the southwestern Indian ocean to counter China's growing influence in the region.
- Question resolves YES if India starts to build a military base in a country in eastern Africa before the end of 2026, with the military base near the Indian ocean.
- Listening posts/radar installations/berthing rights do not count, it has to be a full military base.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 53% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : India initially tried to build a military base in Seychelles on Assumption Island in 2018, but was rejected by Seychelles parliament.