Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.9%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète9 févr. 23, 06:31 UTC8 févr. 28, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if I win any lottery within the next 5 years.
- Otherwise it resolves NO.
- I have no particular plans to play in a lottery, but you never know!
- It must be a somewhat official lottery, not a casual raffle among friends or something created just to manipulate this market.