Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 63.1%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète30 juin 25, 21:48 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which UFC fighters will remain undefeated through 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Normal/Rock Pokemon released by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Rock/Ghost Pokemon released by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame expansion be completed?
KalshiPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
I currently am undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors since approx 2019.
- (3 wins to 0 losses)
- Question resolves yes if I don't loss at any point an IRL Rock Paper Scissors match Until 2030
- I am not required to participate in any more matches than what I currently have and don't intend to but if their comes a situation where I judge that it would be a worthwhile to compete (at the cost of a chance of losing an interesing fact about myself) I will choose to compete.
- Update 2026-07-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Games with changed labels or themes count as Rock Paper Scissors matches if they exactly mirror the gameplay (choosing one of three items where each beats one and loses to one, with no other rules or mechanics).
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I currently am undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors since approx 2019.