Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.1%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
5 juin 26, 21:35 UTC4 juin 28, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of these goals will I achieve before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsWill I get hit by a bike before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsWhich academic competitions or competition-related summer programs will I be accepted to before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsWill high-school or college students in 2040 be able to tell time on an analog clock?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsNew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "YES" if I enter into a romantic relationship (as defined by my personal acknowledgment of having a "boyfriend") at any point before I graduate high school in 2028.
- It will resolve to "NO" if I graduate without having acquired a boyfriend first.
- op has had one situationship b4.
- op is in high school graduating 2028.
- op is straight female.
- hooking up with my situationship will resolve a yes. hooking up with someone who bets yes is not prohibited.
