Will high-school or college students in 2040 be able to tell time on an analog clock?
One-OffSociété et culture13aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 93.3%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète28 nov. 22, 21:30 UTC13 mai 40, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will students be able to enroll in Trump's "American Academy" by the end of his mandate?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these goals will I achieve before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsWill I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]
Manifold MarketsWill the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsDuolingo language rankings · #2 in 2026?
KalshiRègles
You know the clocks I mean.
- They are circular, with numbers 1 to 12 evenly spaced around the edge.
- They have two "hands", one long and one short, that rotate at different speeds (the long one goes around once every hour, the short one twice every day).
- By looking at which numbers they point to you can figure out what time it is.
- The procedure is not that complicated.
- You probably learned it in elementary school.
