Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 92.3%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 26, 00:10 UTC1 janv. 27, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an alleged male lover of Lindsey Graham come forward to the MSM at any time during the remainder of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I still be vegan by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Neil deGrasse Tyson become vegan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Will resolve to NO if and only if I intentionally eat non-vegan food at some point before 12:00 AM EST on January 1st, 2027.
- For simplicity, this market only concerns my diet, and not e.g. purchasing leather (unless I eat it afterwards).
- Eating the following will NOT be sufficient for the market to resolve NO: clams, oysters, scallops, and similarly simple animals, as long as I am sufficiently confident they're not sentient that I judge eating them to be morally justifiable; lab-grown meat; honey, if I change my mind on whether eating it is justifiable; vitamins and drugs
- Eating the following WILL be sufficient to resolve NO: non-human animal flesh, gelatin, dairy, and eggs, except as specified above.
- (This list is not exhaustive.)
- Eating animal products on accident will not be sufficient for NO.
Marchés ouverts
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
- 12,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,2 M €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I be vegan for the remainder of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I be vegan for the remainder of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I be vegan for the remainder of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will I be vegan for the remainder of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will resolve to NO if and only if I intentionally eat non-vegan food at some point before 12:00 AM EST on January 1st, 2027.