Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?
TechIAOne-OffCriminalité et justice5a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50.9%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète23 juin 24, 14:49 UTC31 déc. 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Market resolves YES if I am the victim of a blackmail or ransom threat that heavily relies on AI which would be significantly more difficult (or impossible) for a human to execute without AI assistance.
- The market resolves NO if this does not happen by December 31, 2031, 11:59:59 UTC.
- The attacking message cannot be marked as spam/scam by whatever medium I am receiving the message in.
- There also needs to be a reasonable chance (>0.1% of readers/listeners) that someone would fall for the scam or pay the attacker.
- Examples that would result in a YES resolution:
- I receive a call claiming a loved one is held hostage, using an AI-generated voice of that loved one, demanding ransom.
