Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
... I arrive before 20 January 2025 and leave after Manifest (9 June 2025) 20%En tête parmi 4 options
... I arrive before 20 January 2025 and leave after Manifest (9 June 2025) 20%Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète14 déc. 24, 21:28 UTC28 févr. 27, 18:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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For clarity, the question is asking whether I will be stopped at the border when I enter the US after going back in 2025 (so when I come back after leaving in June 2025, for example).
- The upper limit you can stay on a visiting visa is 6 months in a year, but it's informally strongly recommended one not come close to that limit.
- The last time I visited, I stayed from 11 January 2024 to 5 May 2024, and I've heard advice both ways on whether that's long or short relative to how close you can get.
- Related market that decides the conditional on this market: https://manifold.markets/Jozdien/will-i-be-stopped-at-the-border-com