Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard25 mars 24, 02:05 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I get a bf before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsWill I get hit by a bike before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsHow hard will it be to import my prereqs into the California Community Colleges system given my graduate degree?
Manifold MarketsColorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRègles
Any kind of grad school would count.
- 2028 is my expected college graduation year, and grad school is a common path for people similar to me.
- Currently it doesn’t seem very appealing to me, but maybe I’ll change my mind.
- Update: I’m going to Stanford, so I think the chances are lower - since there’s more opportunity in the Bay to work at or found a startup / do other meaningful work out of college.
- I may resolve this market a few months early if the outcome is clear.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 30,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 18 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume total
- 8,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7 k €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- 136,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 419 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 69% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Any kind of grad school would count.