Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleGreens poll at 15.00% or more in 3 or more polls? 100%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-14.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète29 janv. 26, 01:54 UTC7 nov. 26, 01:53 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketRègles
resolves yes if the party polls at 15.00% or more 3 or more polls.
- (after market creation)
- all 3 appearances cant be the same company though.
- Must be at least 2 different polling companies reporting it.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_New_Zealand_general_election#Table_of_polls
- Polls accepted:
