Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 57.2%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète17 mars 24, 23:57 UTC1 janv. 41, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsGoogle’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies: #1 search
KalshiGoogle’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search
KalshiGoogle’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search
KalshiWill Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?
Manifold MarketsRègles
As of 2023, Google Search has 91% market share in search engine, when the second most popular search engine only has 3% market share
- https://www.reliablesoft.net/top-10-search-engines-in-the-world/
- Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
- Data source for resolution not determined yet.
- In 2040 myself or a mod will find a credible data source on users statistics of popular search engines and resolve this market base on that.
- If certain LLMs end up powering a major feature of a search engine, whereby users' inputs return a list of websites as output, these would also be considered a search engine as well.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2041.
- Comment Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As of 2023, Google Search has 91% market share in search engine, when the second most popular search engine only has 3% market share