Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 57.2%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète17 mars 24, 23:57 UTC1 janv. 41, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
As of 2023, Google Search has 91% market share in search engine, when the second most popular search engine only has 3% market share
- https://www.reliablesoft.net/top-10-search-engines-in-the-world/
- Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
- Data source for resolution not determined yet.
- In 2040 myself or a mod will find a credible data source on users statistics of popular search engines and resolve this market base on that.
- If certain LLMs end up powering a major feature of a search engine, whereby users' inputs return a list of websites as output, these would also be considered a search engine as well.
