Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 56.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète6 août 26, 00:47 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Google acqi-hire Mechanize by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Google conventionally acquire Mechanize by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Amazon fully acquire, acqui‑hire, or own ≥ 50 % of Anthropic before 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if:
- Google and Mechanize execute a "talent-and-licensing" deal, "reverse acqui-hire," or non-exclusive technology licensing agreement (similar to Google's previous arrangements with Character.AI and Windsurf) where Mechanize continues to exist as an independent corporate entity, even if Google hires a portion of its workforce and pays licensing fees.
- This market will resolve to NO if Alphabet Inc. (or Google) announces a formal, conventional corporate acquisition of Mechanize, Inc. on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- This requires Google to purchase a controlling equity stake (greater than 50%) or 100% of the assets/corporate equity of Mechanize, Inc. Mechanize is fully acquired by another corporate entity.