Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Google acqi-hire Mechanize by the end of 2026? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 58.2% au 29 octobre 2026.

Quand Will Google acqi-hire Mechanize by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will Google acqi-hire Mechanize by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 58.2%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 heure

En retard

12 août 26, 16:29 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if:
Google and Mechanize execute a "talent-and-licensing" deal, "reverse acqui-hire," or non-exclusive technology licensing agreement (similar to Google's previous arrangements with Character.AI and Windsurf) where Mechanize continues to exist as an independent corporate entity, even if Google hires a portion of its workforce and pays licensing fees.
This market will resolve to NO if Alphabet Inc. (or Google) announces a formal, conventional corporate acquisition of Mechanize, Inc. on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
This requires Google to purchase a controlling equity stake (greater than 50%) or 100% of the assets/corporate equity of Mechanize, Inc. Mechanize is fully acquired by another corporate entity.