Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.4%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète7 janv. 26, 16:56 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will global peak oil production occur before 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill global peak oil production occur before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill global peak oil production occur before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill global peak oil production occur before 2028?
Manifold MarketsTexas crude oil production in 2026
KalshiWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2027 and 2028 from a peak reached during or before the year 2026, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2026.
- Resolves NO if world total oil production is reported to be above 2026 levels in any of the two years following.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
- "Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline.
- It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."
- [image]from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html