Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 81.2%
Non 81.2%Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète17 janv. 24, 00:29 UTC2 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will global peak oil production occur before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill global peak oil production occur before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill global peak oil production occur before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill global peak oil production occur before 2028?
Manifold MarketsTexas crude oil production in 2026
KalshiU.S. oil production per day in 2026
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2026 and 2027 from a peak in or before the year 2025, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2025.
- Resolves NO if world total oil production is clearly above 2025 levels in 2026 or 2027.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
- "Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline.
- It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."
- [image]from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html
