Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 81.2%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète17 janv. 24, 00:29 UTC2 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will global peak oil production occur before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Strait of Hormuz be blockaded during the year that peak oil is reached?
Manifold MarketsHow high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiTexas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
KalshiWhat will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
KalshiGlobal carbon emissions peak when ?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2026 and 2027 from a peak in or before the year 2025, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2025.
- Resolves NO if world total oil production is clearly above 2025 levels in 2026 or 2027.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
- "Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline.
- It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."
- [image]from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html
Marchés ouverts
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 414,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 265,7 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 résultats de plus
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 126,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 126,9 k €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 113,1 k €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5 k €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will global peak oil production occur before 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will global peak oil production occur before 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will global peak oil production occur before 2026? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will global peak oil production occur before 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2026 and 2027 from a peak in or before the year 2025, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2025.