Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 74.9%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard17 janv. 24, 01:38 UTC2 janv. 33, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2031 and 2032 from a peak in or before the year 2030, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2030.
- Resolves NO if world total oil production is clearly above 2030 levels in 2031 or 2032.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
- "Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline.
- It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."
- [image]from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html
