Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffGéopolitiqueRussia / UkraineEurope3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.8%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète9 févr. 26, 15:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketUkraine peace referendum scheduled by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Peace Combo
PolymarketWill Putin attend the G20 Summit in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Putin attends the G20 summit in 2026, will any of the listed leader not attend?
Manifold MarketsWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
LimitlessRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Germany attends a summit or formal negotiation meeting with Russia regarding Ukraine peace that explicitly excludes the United States before January 1, 2027.
- The meeting must be officially announced or documented by German government sources, Russian government sources, or major international news outlets.
- Bilateral meetings between Germany and Russia do not count; the summit must involve Ukraine as a party or subject of discussion.
- The US exclusion must be explicit—meetings where the US simply does not participate do not qualify.
- Resolution will be determined by official government statements, press releases, or credible reporting from major news organizations.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volume total
- 957,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 760,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria