Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Flanders secede from Belgium by EOY 2070? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 59% au 19 octobre 2026.

Quand Will Flanders secede from Belgium by EOY 2070? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will Flanders secede from Belgium by EOY 2070? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2070.

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 59%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 heures

Obsolète

13 oct. 26, 12:44 UTC31 déc. 70, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Flanders (the Flemish Region / Flemish Community) officially secedes from Belgium to become an independent sovereign state, or if Belgium formally dissolves into separate sovereign states including Flanders, on or before December 31, 2070, at 23:59 UTC.
For a YES resolution, at least one of the following conditions must be met prior to the deadline:
Flanders officially declares independence and obtains formal recognition as a sovereign state by the United Nations or a majority of UN member states.
The Kingdom of Belgium legally completes a constitutional reform, treaty, or formal dissolution process that separates Flanders as an independent nation-state separate from Wallonia and/or Brussels.
Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.