Will Federal Agents draw guns on voters on Election Day 2026
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionPolitique américaineGéopolitiqueCriminalité et justice13j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.2%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète21 mars 26, 22:56 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if federal agents (including FBI, ICE, DHS, or other federal law enforcement) draw firearms on voters at polling locations on Election Day 2026 (November 3, 2026).
- The act of drawing a gun must occur at or immediately adjacent to a polling place and be directed at or in the presence of voters.
- This market resolves NO if no such incident occurs by the end of Election Day 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by credible news reports from major outlets documenting the incident.
- Ambiguous cases (e.g., agents drawing weapons in response to an active threat unrelated to voting) will resolve NO unless the primary context is voter intimidation or election interference.
