Will a major-party U.S. presidential candidate deploy an AI clone to talk to voters before the 2028 election?
PolitiqueIAOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète19 oct. 26, 01:20 UTC6 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if, before November 7, 2028, a candidate who becomes the Democratic or Republican presidential nominee for the 2028 election deploys or authorizes an AI-powered digital replica of themselves capable of engaging in real-time, unscripted conversations with the public.
- Requirements:
- The system must represent the candidate through their likeness, voice, or both.
- It must generate substantive answers dynamically in response to voter questions.
- It must be publicly accessible to voters, rather than restricted to internal campaign testing.
- The candidate or their official campaign must explicitly authorize its use.
