Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?
ChineMatières premièresYearlyEntreprises et affairesMacro et économie2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.9%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète4 mai 26, 17:53 UTC31 mai 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiWill Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 2.8 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Emirates Global Aluminium. 2024 actual 2.69 Mt; modest UAE growth.
- The 2.8 Mt strike for 2028 reflects continued UAE-base growth; the Century-EGA Inola JV first metal targeted late 2028 contributes only a partial year.
- EGA's consolidation footprint of Inola is partial (50/50 JV).
- Resolution sources (priority order):
