Prévision communautaire actuelle
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13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète28 juil. 26, 07:21 UTC31 déc. 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWhich CEO role will Elon Musk leave first?
Manifold MarketsWill someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Description:
- Both men have built launch vehicles explicitly aimed at the Moon — SpaceX's Starship (including the Artemis HLS variant) and Blue Origin's Blue Moon lander, launched on New Glenn.
- Neither has committed publicly to flying himself.
- Bezos has flown to suborbital space on New Shepard (July 2021); Musk has never flown to space at all.
- This market asks whether either founder will personally make the trip.
- Resolution criteria:
