Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 72.5%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
MĂ©thodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis Ă jour il y a 7 minutes
1 déc. 23, 23:52 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This will resolve to YES, if on Jan 1, 2030
- Elon Musk has an active profile on X.com //////////////////
- if Elon dies if X.com substantially rebrands if Elon is banned from X etc - will resolve to NO.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 659,9 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,8 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volume total
- 3,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volume total
- 18,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volume total
- 49,8 k €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
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- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
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- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes Ă 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This will resolve to YES, if on Jan 1, 2030