Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
PolitiqueOne-OffTechSpaceÉlectionUS Politics2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.3%
Prévisionnistes
99
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
10 janv. 25, 23:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk be assassinated by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be assassinated before 1 January 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be assassinated?
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KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Elon Musk is the CEO of multiple high-profile companies including Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter).
- Donald Trump is currently the presumptive Republican nominee for the 2024 presidential election.
- If elected, his term would run from January 20, 2025 to January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Elon Musk dies as a result of an intentional act of violence by another person or group before the end of Trump's potential second presidential term (January 20, 2029).
- The market will resolve NO if:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Elon Musk is the CEO of multiple high-profile companies including Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter).