Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
PolitiqueOne-OffTechEspaceÉlectionPolitique américaine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.3%
Prévisionnistes
99
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard10 janv. 25, 23:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Elon Musk is the CEO of multiple high-profile companies including Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter).
- Donald Trump is currently the presumptive Republican nominee for the 2024 presidential election.
- If elected, his term would run from January 20, 2025 to January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Elon Musk dies as a result of an intentional act of violence by another person or group before the end of Trump's potential second presidential term (January 20, 2029).
- The market will resolve NO if:
