Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore January 2027 3.3%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-1.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète25 févr. 25, 05:26 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWould Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Elon Musk's behavior is looking more and more erratic.
- He has admitted to recreational drug use and daily prescribed ketamine.
- Could rehab be in his future?
- This market will resolve to confirmed reports he's been to in-patient rehabilitation.
- (Eg, if he attends rehab in 2025, but it is not disclosed until February 2026 or he announces in 2025 that he will attend in February 2026, only the option "the named outcome" will resolve Yes)
