Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.6%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
14 nov. 24, 09:08 UTC8 janv. 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
PolymarketWhat price will Bitcoin hit in October?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Satoshi Nakamoto has appeared on a published video/audio podcast with Dwarkesh Patel before January 1st 2031.
