Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Politique américaineIAOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75.7%
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65
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète19 mars 24, 00:52 UTC2 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiWill Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiRègles
Clarifications:
- the halt does not need to be permanent
- the halt must target a broad swath of frontier AI research
- the halt must apply to all serious countries
- the person has to say call for it seriously, i.e. not as a joke.
- the person doesn't need to have a super specific plan in mind as long as it's clear what they mean.
