Will Donald Trump be impeached at least once during his second term?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 65.4%
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 heures
Obsolète8 févr. 25, 00:55 UTC20 janv. 29, 17:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
Manifold MarketsNumber of times Donald Trump is impeached by House of Representatives during his second term
Manifold MarketsHow many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached and removed from office during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurRègles
Donald Trump was previously impeached twice during his first term (2017-2021) - first for abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, and second for incitement of insurrection.
- Both times he was acquitted by the Senate.
- Impeachment requires a simple majority vote in the House of Representatives, while conviction and removal from office requires a two-thirds majority in the Senate.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- The House of Representatives passes at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump during his second presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029)
