Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.4%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
19 août 26, 08:25 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nevada Governor Election Winner
PolymarketTexas Governor Election Winner
PolymarketOregon Governor Election Winner
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 New Mexico Governor's Election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves yes if a candidate listed on the ballot as a Democrat wins
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.8pt95%
- Yes-13.8pt5%
- Volume total
- 18 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 M €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75.3%
- New People (NL)+1.9pt20.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt2%
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.4pt19%
- Gavin Newsom+4.5pt17%
- Jon Ossoff-0.9pt16%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 189,4 M €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.2pt36.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+0.5pt12.2%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 16 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if a candidate listed on the ballot as a Democrat wins