Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 62%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète16 nov. 24, 21:04 UTC1 févr. 30, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES as soon as Democrats (including senators who are widely considered to caucus with the Democrats) have a majority in the US Senate (or 50 seats, plus the vice president's tie-breaking vote).
- Resolves NO on January 31, 2030.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030? doit être résolu le 1 février 2030.
- Comment Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES as soon as Democrats (including senators who are widely considered to caucus with the Democrats) have a majority in the US Senate (or 50 seats, plus the vice president's tie-breaking vote).