Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2026 49.4%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard9 sept. 23, 02:54 UTC2 janv. 30, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
0.2%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many incumbent governors will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Senate Race in North Carolina be the most expensive senate race of the entire election cycle?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will control the Senate after the midterm elections?
SmarketsWhich party will control the Senate after the 2026 election?
PredictItPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
Close date to be extended and new options to be added until this happens or until the Democratic party/US Senate ceases to exist.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2026 à 49% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Close date to be extended and new options to be added until this happens or until the Democratic party/US Senate ceases to exist.