Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20263j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
1 août 26, 16:22 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill the Fake Dan Sullivan Effect the Results of the Alaska Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Dan S. Sullivan win the Alaska general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Dan Sullivan wins the general election and is elected to represent Alaska in the U.S. Senate.
- The market resolves NO if any other candidate wins.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/candidates/).
- Sullivan, having been re-elected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote, has declared his re-election bid.
