Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.3%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète18 mars 26, 00:00 UTC1 févr. 28, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will "Announcing the Corrigibility Research Fund" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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Manifold MarketsWill "Is Mythos good at cyber because it kept hacki..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsPalantir total customer count in 2026
KalshiHome Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026
KalshiHome Depot customer transactions in Q3
KalshiRègles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Customer Satisfaction Opportunities is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Marchés ouverts
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.0pt91%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 565,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 451,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt90%
- 65-89-8.5pt10%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt78.2%
- Apple-0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.4%
- 200-21917.5%
- 160-179+3.0pt16.5%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 118,1 k €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 189,5 k €
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2028.
- Comment Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.