Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 78.5%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète29 mars 26, 01:32 UTC1 janv. 27, 02:31 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any Democrat governor be charged with a felony by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Howie Lempel (CEO at 80,000 Hours) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsClavicular sentenced to prison?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiTom Lee charged by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if a felony charge is filed against Braden Eric Peters aka "Clavicular" in any U.S. court after March 28, 2026.
- Resolves NO on January 1, 2027 otherwise.
- The Arizona forgery/drug charges from February 2026 do not count, as they predate this market.
- Note that simply getting arrested does not count either.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Clavicular be charged with another felony? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Clavicular be charged with another felony? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Clavicular be charged with another felony? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Clavicular be charged with another felony? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if a felony charge is filed against Braden Eric Peters aka "Clavicular" in any U.S. court after March 28, 2026.