Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.8%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète15 sept. 23, 23:22 UTC1 janv. 99, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if there are credible reports he has died in a plane crash (regardless of whether he is defense minister at the time).
- Resolves NO if there are credible reports he has died for some other reason.
- If he lives forever this market does not resolve.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/getby/will-chinas-defense-minister-li-sha)
