Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 janv. 25, 16:38 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the leader of a nonwestern nuclear power make an extremely ASI-pilled public statement before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWhich Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market immediately resolves to YES if, before January 1, 2030, China clearly demonstrates hostility toward Russia.
- Hostility is defined as any of the following actions:
- Territorial aggression: An attempt to acquire any of Russia's internationally recognized territory through coercion, military action, or other forms of force.
- Severing of diplomatic relations: The formal termination of diplomatic ties by China, such as the withdrawal of ambassadors and closure of embassies.
- Economic warfare: Imposition of significant economic sanctions, trade embargoes, or other major punitive measures targeting Russia.
- Military hostility: Direct military confrontation, including but not limited to attacks on Russian forces, assets, or infrastructure.
