Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 47 minutes
En retard13 janv. 25, 16:38 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
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PolymarketTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketWho will die first? Trump Netanyahu, Putin or xi jinping
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Trump, Xi and Putin hold a three-way in-person meeting by November 22, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market immediately resolves to YES if, before January 1, 2030, China clearly demonstrates hostility toward Russia.
- Hostility is defined as any of the following actions:
- Territorial aggression: An attempt to acquire any of Russia's internationally recognized territory through coercion, military action, or other forms of force.
- Severing of diplomatic relations: The formal termination of diplomatic ties by China, such as the withdrawal of ambassadors and closure of embassies.
- Economic warfare: Imposition of significant economic sanctions, trade embargoes, or other major punitive measures targeting Russia.
- Military hostility: Direct military confrontation, including but not limited to attacks on Russian forces, assets, or infrastructure.
