Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.1%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète30 mars 24, 10:56 UTC31 déc. 59, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China have its first female General Secretary before the US has its first female President?
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PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If the head of state and the de facto leader are two different people, as they sometimes have been before 1993, this question refers to the de facto leader (i.e., the most powerful person in the political system).
- If it is unclear or difficult to determine who that person is, this resolves N/A.
