Will California Proposition 38 ($8.4B immunology research bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PolitiqueOne-OffObligations et bons du TrésorSanté et médecineÉlection22jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
6 oct. 26, 06:34 UTC4 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will California Proposition 1 ($11.25B housing bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Immunology Research Bond Proposition
PolymarketWill California Proposition 42 (ban on new state personal property taxes) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 45 (faster CEQA environmental review) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 41 (tax limits and special-tax audits) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if California Proposition 38 (Authorizes Bonds for Immunology Medical Research.
- Initiative Statute.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of votes cast on the measure (Cal.
- II §10(a); art.
- XVIII §4 for amendments).
- If conflicting measures both pass, the one with more yes votes prevails (art.