Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 78.8%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard18 juin 23, 16:25 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:01 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Brightline West open for service?
Manifold MarketsWill Brightline West open for service before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Brightline West open for service before 2034?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
"Brightline West is a proposed privately run high-speed rail route in the United States linking Las Vegas Valley and Rancho Cucamonga in the Greater Los Angeles area through the California high desert."
- "[R]evenue service is planned to begin in 2027."
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brightline_West
- Brightline West Opening Date Predictions:
- @/jks/will-brightline-west-open-for-servi
- @/jks/will-brightline-west-open-for-servi-687c7ce7d6a2
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6448%
- 65-89+0.5pt28%
- <4016%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,6 k €
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- UCLA+1.0pt85%
- Rice84%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,3 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-16.0pt60%
- Yes+16.0pt40%
- Volume total
- 15,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No82%
- Yes+6.0pt18%
- Volume total
- 11 k €
- Volume 24h
- 505,6 €
POLYMARKETTurner Prize 2026 Winner
- Tanoa Sasraku29.5%
- Marguerite Humeau+4.0pt26.7%
- Kira Freije25.7%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
FORECASTEXWill UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Yes82%
- No18%
- Volume total
- 429,6 €
- Volume 24h
- 429,6 €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Brightline West open for service before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 79% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Brightline West open for service before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Brightline West open for service before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Brightline West open for service before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : "Brightline West is a proposed privately run high-speed rail route in the United States linking Las Vegas Valley and Rancho Cucamonga in the Greater Los Angeles area through the California high desert."