Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJan 2032 or earlier 44.9%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète23 avr. 24, 03:33 UTC30 janv. 32, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Brightline West open for service before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Brightline West open for service before 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill Brightline West open for service before 2033?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Brightline West (a commercial high speed rail line between LA and Las Vegas) just broke ground.
- When will any segment open for commercial passenger service?
- https://www.brightlinewest.com/
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6448%
- 65-89+0.5pt28%
- <4016%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,6 k €
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- UCLA+1.0pt85%
- Rice84%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,3 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-16.0pt60%
- Yes+16.0pt40%
- Volume total
- 15,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No82%
- Yes+6.0pt18%
- Volume total
- 11 k €
- Volume 24h
- 505,6 €
POLYMARKETTurner Prize 2026 Winner
- Tanoa Sasraku29.5%
- Marguerite Humeau+4.0pt26.7%
- Kira Freije25.7%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
FORECASTEXWill UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Yes82%
- No18%
- Volume total
- 429,6 €
- Volume 24h
- 429,6 €
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $54,000 in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $56,000 in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Brightline West open for service? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Jan 2032 or earlier à 45% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Brightline West open for service? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Brightline West open for service? doit être résolu le 30 janvier 2032.
- Comment When will Brightline West open for service? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Brightline West (a commercial high speed rail line between LA and Las Vegas) just broke ground.