Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 53.6%
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète7 août 24, 15:17 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Biden to die before 2028 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
End of Biden's hypothetical second term: January 20, 2029.
- If Biden dies on or before this date, the market resolves to yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to no.