Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.3%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 juin 26, 17:32 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Manifold MarketsWill The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Prop 40: Billionaire Tax pass in California in 2026?
ForecastExWill major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
KalshiWorld Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027 [High Liquidity]
Manifold MarketsRègles
https://x.com/i/status/2061631422188626083
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the American A.I. Sovereign Wealth Fund Act (or substantially similar legislation introduced by Senator Bernie Sanders that imposes a 50% or greater equity/stock tax or mandates a 50% or greater public ownership stake in major AI companies) is signed into law or otherwise enacted.
- If no such legislation is still under consideration at the end of 2026, this market will resolve NO at that time.
- Otherwise the market resolution will be extended.
- Enactment will be verified using official U.S. government legislative tracking resources, such as Congress.gov.
