Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.2%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
11 mars 26, 05:16 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PolymarketRègles
The Bay Area Rapid Transit system is facing a fiscal cliff, and there is going to be a ballot measure to raise taxes in the Bay Area to pay for it.
- BART is claiming that if they do not get extra funding, they will close 10 stations in January 2027.
- Resolves YES if two or more stations close in 2027.
- These closures must be indefinite (so a temporary closure to perform maintenance would not count).
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.